Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.196285 0.275457 0.364671 0.470451 0.590524 0.720950 0.871804
2025-11-02 0.090681 0.186026 0.311515 0.476743 0.679346 0.912513 1.194853
2025-11-09 0.034045 0.118118 0.250276 0.441548 0.690570 0.988979 1.361198
2025-11-16 0.006384 0.068177 0.195579 0.401088 0.685058 1.038089 1.489786
2025-11-23 0.000089 0.042592 0.166883 0.388002 0.708172 1.117013 1.649445
2025-11-30 NaN 0.029923 0.155414 0.396807 0.758171 1.228015 1.846976
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017819 0.137958 0.392311 0.787321 1.310745 2.008467
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007637 0.115309 0.374444 0.794564 1.363110 2.130678
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006133 0.119697 0.404255 0.871283 1.506981 2.368156
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004990 0.124580 0.434792 0.949098 1.652448 2.607908
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002975 0.122374 0.451167 1.005387 1.769088 2.811124
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003045 0.132829 0.492438 1.099605 1.936894 3.079834
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002372 0.138385 0.526113 1.185660 2.098236 3.346362
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000718 0.130787 0.533045 1.231282 2.206052 3.546074
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.103934 0.495612 1.205722 2.215534 3.618202
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.077807 0.452567 1.167638 2.205506 3.663356
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.065579 0.438609 1.174601 2.256493 3.786546
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.062649 0.448000 1.220059 2.361408 3.980379
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.055146 0.443206 1.240996 2.431373 4.128093
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.043901 0.424138 1.236229 2.464056 4.226103
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.048711 0.455938 1.320164 2.623997 4.493056
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.053760 0.488443 1.405374 2.785861 4.762705
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054118 0.505846 1.464246 2.910021 4.982454